Putting our money where our mouth is.
Model projections vs. the sharp books and Kalshi, every game day — every play graded and published.
We judge the model by CLV — did the play beat Pinnacle's closing line? — not by win–loss, until there are 50+ graded plays. A win–loss record over a dozen plays is noise. Model plays and price plays are scored separately because price plays buy a number off the line on purpose.
Graded plays only. Click a row to show just those plays in the ledger below; click again to clear.
| Sport | System | Tier | W–L–P | Units | Avg CLV | Pending |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB | Model plays (vs market line) · paper | all | 81–65–1 | +8.34 | +0.259 | |
| Tier A | 9–11–0 | -3.14 | +0.975 | |||
| Tier B | 72–54–1 | +11.48 | +0.146 | |||
| CFB | Model moneyline · paper | all | 1–0–0 | +1.27 | -0.001 | |
| CFB | Price plays (Kalshi vs market) · paper | all | 46–57–0 | +7.98 | -2.150 | |
| Tier A | 9–5–0 | +8.12 | -2.679 | |||
| Tier B | 37–52–0 | -0.14 | -2.067 | |||
| CFB | all systems · CLV split | 128–122–1 | +17.60 | model +0.257 (148) · price -2.150 (103) | ||
| NFL | Model plays (vs market line) | all | 27–25–0 | -1.10 | +0.240 | 2 |
| Tier A | 11–6–0 | +3.49 | +0.412 | 2 | ||
| Tier B | 16–19–0 | -4.59 | +0.157 | |||
| NFL | Price plays (Kalshi vs market) | all | 13–15–0 | +0.32 | -1.107 | 3 |
| Tier A | 6–4–0 | +3.68 | -1.400 | |||
| Tier B | 7–11–0 | -3.35 | -0.944 | 3 | ||
| NFL | all systems · CLV split | 40–40–0 | -0.78 | model +0.240 (52) · price -1.107 (28) | ||
| Kick (PT) | Sport | Play | System | Result | Final | Game | Edge score | Odds (dec) | Units | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 10/25 1:25 PM | NFL | ALas Vegas Raiders +5.5 @51¢ Audit 10/22: No QB issue either side (Stafford, Cousins not listed). LAR thin: WR Davante Adams out (hamstring); WR Puka Nacua left Thu practice with calf injury, status unclear; CB McDuffie and LB Landman DNP Wed; DTs Ford, Turner on IR; Garrett still out. LV: G Powers-Johnson, DT Hemingway questionable. Dome. Line opened LAR -7.5, now -3.5 toward LV; ~83% of spread money on LV. | model | pending | Los Angeles Rams @ Las Vegas Raiders | 2.0 | 1.96 | — | — | |
| Sun 10/25 1:05 PM | NFL | BArizona Cardinals +6.5 @57¢ | price | pending | Denver Broncos @ Arizona Cardinals | 1.0 | 1.75 | — | — | |
| Sun 10/25 10:00 AM | NFL | ANew York Giants +9.5 @49¢ Audit 10/22: No QB out either side, but NYG switched starters: J.J. McCarthy named starter Wed (Winston benched); Stroud not on HOU report. NYG LT Thomas (groin) and RT Eluemunor (calf) limited Thu, LB Edmunds and CB Newsome DNP. HOU: RB Montgomery, S Pitre, S Blankenship, T Fisher DNP. Dome. HOU back from London. Line opened 9.5, now 10.5 toward HOU despite ~95% of spread money on NYG. | model | pending | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | 2.4 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| Sun 10/25 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Giants +9.5 @49¢ | price | pending | New York Giants @ Houston Texans | 1.8 | 2.04 | — | — | |
| Sun 10/25 10:00 AM | NFL | BIndianapolis Colts +3.5 @41¢ | price | pending | Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings | 1.3 | 2.44 | — | — | |
| Thu 10/22 5:15 PM | NFL | BNew England Patriots +3.5 @55¢ | model | LOSS | 24–30 | New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears | 1.2 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Mon 10/19 5:15 PM | NFL | AWashington Commanders +6.5 @44¢ · line moved | price | WIN | 17–23 | Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers | 1.1 | 2.27 | +1.27 | -1.00 |
| Mon 10/19 5:15 PM | NFL | BSan Francisco 49ers -7.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 23–17 | Washington Commanders @ San Francisco 49ers | 1.0 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/18 1:25 PM | NFL | ALos Angeles Chargers +8.5 @51¢ · line moved Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (Herbert; Mahomes healthy). LAC out: RT Alt, LG Awosika, S James, CB Jackson, WR Harris, FB Ingold; Dupree, Henley questionable; McConkey/Johnston game-time. KC out: WR Rice, LT Simmons. 66F, wind 12. Line KC -2.5 open to -7.5/-8.5 (big move against us); total 46 to 41.5. Public 55% bets/64% money on KC (against us). | price | LOSS | 6–22 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1.4 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 10/18 1:25 PM | NFL | BLas Vegas Raiders +7.5 @61¢ | price | WIN | 30–33 | Buffalo Bills @ Las Vegas Raiders | 1.0 | 1.64 | +0.64 | +3.00 |
| Sun 10/18 1:05 PM | NFL | AArizona Cardinals +13.5 @53¢ · line moved Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (ARI Brissett starts, Beck cleared as backup; LAR Stafford). ARI RB1 Love OUT; S Baker, LB Collins questionable; 2 OL on IR. LAR LT Jackson suspended; S Curl, CB McDuffie questionable; LAR on short week. Dome. Line LAR -14 open to -12.5/-13 (toward us), total 47.5 to 51.5. 53% bets on LAR but 68% money on ARI (our side). | model | WIN | 18–16 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Rams | 2.6 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | BPhiladelphia Eagles +3.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 14–25 | Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1.8 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | ATampa Bay Buccaneers +2.5 @49¢ Audit 10/17: RED FLAG: TB QB Baker Mayfield (thumb) OUT; UDFA rookie Jalon Daniels 3rd straight start. TB S Winfield, WR Sills out; CB Morrison doubtful. PIT Rodgers healthy; S Elliott, WRs Wilson/Skowronek out; Ramsey, Dean, Benton, Metcalf questionable. 76F, NE wind 17. Line TB -1.5 open to PIT -2.5/-3, total 44.5 to ~40 (against us). Public 69% bets/61% money on PIT (against us). QB news after logging (kept as a bet) — QB guard: TB Baker Mayfield Out (wk 5 report) | model | LOSS | 19–26 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.6 | 2.04 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | ANew York Giants +1.5 @53¢ Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (NYG Winston; NO Shough full practice, no designation). NYG out: CB Hood, TE Johnson, S Nubin; EDGE Carter, LT Thomas, OT Eluemunor questionable (calf/groin). NO out: LB Elliss, EDGE Jennings; RB Kamara (back), WR1 Olave (illness) questionable. 54F, wind 6. Line NYG -2.5 open to NO -1.5 (toward us). Public 63% bets/60% money on NYG (our side). | model | LOSS | 27–34 | New Orleans Saints @ New York Giants | 1.6 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | BAtlanta Falcons +3.5 @56¢ | model | LOSS | 23–31 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | 1.2 | 1.79 | -1.00 | +2.50 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | BTennessee Titans +6.5 @47¢ | price | WIN | 26–20 | Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts | 1.0 | 2.13 | +1.13 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/18 10:00 AM | NFL | BChicago Bears -1.5 @48¢ | price | WIN | 31–23 | Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons | 1.0 | 2.08 | +1.08 | -0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 8:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNebraska Cornhuskers +4.5 @40¢ | price | WIN | 14–17 | Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oregon Ducks | 1.1 | 2.50 | +1.50 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 8:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 14–17 | Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Oregon Ducks | 0.9 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico Lobos -14.0 | model | LOSS | 21–10 | New Mexico Lobos @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 3.3 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BFresno State Bulldogs -6.5 @57¢ | model | LOSS | 23–26 | Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Diego State Aztecs | 1.4 | 1.75 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Diego State Aztecs +7.5 @51¢ | price | WIN | 26–23 | Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Diego State Aztecs | 0.8 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 7:15 PM | CFB · paper | BUtah Utes -14.5 | model | LOSS | 27–24 | Utah Utes @ Colorado Buffaloes | 2.3 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 6:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Jose State Spartans -7.5 @49¢ | model | WIN | 24–11 | San Jose State Spartans @ UTEP Miners | 1.1 | 2.04 | +1.04 | -0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisiana Tech Bulldogs -14.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 24–0 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ UL Monroe Warhawks | 1.4 | 1.96 | +0.96 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNavy Midshipmen +4.5 @42¢ | price | WIN | 34–38 | Navy Midshipmen @ UTSA Roadrunners | 1.2 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BUL Monroe Warhawks +13.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 0–24 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ UL Monroe Warhawks | 1.2 | 2.33 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSyracuse Orange +13.5 @45¢ | price | WIN | 26–34 | Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange | 1.5 | 2.22 | +1.22 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUCLA Bruins -3.0 | model | WIN | 17–7 | Wisconsin Badgers @ UCLA Bruins | 1.1 | 1.91 | +0.91 | -1.50 |
| Sat 10/17 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BBYU Cougars +9.5 @47¢ | price | WIN | 28–24 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ BYU Cougars | 1.0 | 2.13 | +1.13 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSyracuse Orange +14.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 26–34 | Louisville Cardinals @ Syracuse Orange | 1.0 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Florida Bulls -20.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 29–2 | Kent State Golden Flashes @ South Florida Bulls | 1.0 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BOregon State Beavers -17.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 48–30 | Washington State Cougars @ Oregon State Beavers | 1.3 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BWashington State Cougars +21.5 @57¢ | price | WIN | 30–48 | Washington State Cougars @ Oregon State Beavers | 1.1 | 1.75 | +0.75 | +3.00 |
| Sat 10/17 1:30 PM | CFB · paper | BRice Owls +3.5 @47¢ | price | LOSS | 17–38 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Rice Owls | 1.2 | 2.13 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BTexas Tech Red Raiders -14.5 | model | WIN | 53–25 | Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders | 2.0 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AMissouri Tigers +6.5 @54¢ Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (Mizzou Simmons probable; Ole Miss QB not listed). Mizzou out: RB Hardy, RB Fonoti, OL Atkins, OL Canty, S Blair, TE Hoffman; LB Beasley, TE Norfleet doubtful. Ole Miss out: S Joseph, 3 OL, 2 WR, LB Davis. Ole Miss homecoming. Line Ole Miss -6 open to -5.5 (slightly toward us). Public 53% bets/66% money on Ole Miss (against us). | model | LOSS | 3–31 | Missouri Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels | 2.0 | 1.85 | -1.00 | +2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AMiami (OH) RedHawks -9.5 @52¢ Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (Miami Heavner; Akron Roggow, QB3, 3rd straight start, Broughton status unclear). No new injury report since 10/10 (Akron EDGE Abor out; Miami WR Hyatt out, TEs questionable). Both coaches on hot seat, no changes. Dry, mid-50s. Line Miami -9.5 holding, total 46.5; open and splits not found. | model | WIN | 34–14 | Akron Zips @ Miami (OH) RedHawks | 1.9 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AAuburn Tigers +21.5 @55¢ · line moved Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (UGA Stockton, AUB Byrum Brown). UGA S Bolden downgraded to OUT; RB Bowens, WR Blackshear/Canion, S Green, EDGE Williams out. Auburn LB Atkins suspended (internal discipline), OL Buster, TE Herring out. Line UGA -18.5 open to -19.5 (toward UGA, against us); total 48.5 to 50. Public 62-76% bets, 81% money on UGA (against us). | price | WIN | 27–24 | Auburn Tigers @ Georgia Bulldogs | 1.7 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets +6.5 @41¢ | price | LOSS | 24–34 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 1.5 | 2.44 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | ANorthern Illinois Huskies +4.5 @36¢ Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (Wyo Hughes, NIU Dickens). Wyo RB Hubbard, WRs Washom/DeBlanc questionable, no update. NIU 0-5, 2nd straight Mountain-time trip, 7,000 ft altitude; Wyo first home game since 9/26. Sunny, mid-60s, wind ~10. Line Wyo -7 open, -8.5 early week, now -7.5 (we logged +4.5). Public 87% bets on Wyoming (against us). | price | LOSS | 23–41 | Northern Illinois Huskies @ Wyoming Cowboys | 1.4 | 2.78 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | ATennessee Volunteers +6.5 @41¢ Audit 10/17: Tenn QB Brandon (shoulder) off the injury report; George MacIntyre starts 2nd straight, Brandon backup. Bama Russell healthy; Bama top WR Coleman-Williams (knee/head) out, C Delgatty doubtful. Tenn OL Moe, CB Richard, S Lewis/Farooq, LB Harmon, TE Davis out. Line Bama -7 open to -7.5/-8 (against us); total 53.5 to 51. Public 62-72% bets, 67% money on Bama (against us). | price | WIN | 26–10 | Alabama Crimson Tide @ Tennessee Volunteers | 1.4 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BEastern Michigan Eagles +4.5 @45¢ | price | LOSS | 14–34 | Toledo Rockets @ Eastern Michigan Eagles | 1.4 | 2.22 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BAir Force Falcons +1.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 41–31 | UNLV Rebels @ Air Force Falcons | 1.3 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BArizona State Sun Devils +13.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 25–53 | Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas Tech Red Raiders | 1.2 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BPenn State Nittany Lions +6.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 18–21 | Penn State Nittany Lions @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.0 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BPenn State Nittany Lions +5.5 @46¢ | price | WIN | 18–21 | Penn State Nittany Lions @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.0 | 2.17 | +1.17 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 10:30 AM | CFB · paper | BCentral Michigan Chippewas +5.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 14–21 | Western Michigan Broncos @ Central Michigan Chippewas | 0.9 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:30 AM | CFB · paper | BRutgers Scarlet Knights +5.5 @48¢ | price | WIN | 37–30 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Maryland Terrapins | 1.4 | 2.08 | +1.08 | -0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | APittsburgh Panthers -6.5 @51¢ Audit 10/17: No QB issue either side (Pitt Geriner stays starter per Narduzzi; BC McKenzie). BC off bye, flu outbreak cleared, LB Kahoun back. Pitt TE Lagg out, RB Turner questionable. Line Pitt -6.5 to -6 (slightly against us); total down to ~42. Public now split: 52% bets/49% money on Pitt (our side). | model | LOSS | 21–27 | Pittsburgh Panthers @ Boston College Eagles | 1.8 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BNorthwestern Wildcats -7.5 | model | LOSS | 24–21 | Northwestern Wildcats @ Michigan State Spartans | 1.6 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Gators +9.5 @46¢ | price | WIN | 27–24 | Florida Gators @ Texas Longhorns | 1.5 | 2.17 | +1.17 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMississippi State Bulldogs +16.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 0–31 | Mississippi State Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers | 1.4 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BTexas Longhorns -9.5 @55¢ | model | LOSS | 24–27 | Florida Gators @ Texas Longhorns | 1.2 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +2.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Cavaliers +5.5 @38¢ | price | LOSS | 13–23 | Virginia Cavaliers @ SMU Mustangs | 1.0 | 2.63 | -1.00 | -4.50 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | AMississippi State Bulldogs +10.5 @46¢ · line moved Audit 10/17: RED FLAG: MSU QB Kamario Taylor (turf toe) OUT, ruled out Fri/Sat; Parker Puckett expected to start (AJ Swann co-backup). RB1 Bothwell hurt, slot WR Spears down. LSU Leavitt healthy; LSU LB Weeks, TE Green out. Line LSU -10.5 open to -17.5 now (we logged +10.5; 7 pts against us). Public 71% bets on MSU (our side) but 71% money on LSU. | price | LOSS | 0–31 | Mississippi State Bulldogs @ LSU Tigers | 0.9 | 2.17 | -1.00 | -7.00 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Cavaliers +10.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 13–23 | Virginia Cavaliers @ SMU Mustangs | 0.9 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/17 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -9.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 49–22 | Georgia State Panthers @ James Madison Dukes | 0.9 | 2.00 | +1.00 | -1.50 |
| Fri 10/16 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMemphis Tigers -6.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 17–31 | Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave | 1.8 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Fri 10/16 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BTulane Green Wave +5.5 @44¢ | price | WIN | 31–17 | Memphis Tigers @ Tulane Green Wave | 1.1 | 2.27 | +1.27 | -1.00 |
| Thu 10/15 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BColorado State Rams +13.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 27–66 | Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats | 1.6 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Thu 10/15 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BColorado State Rams +11.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 27–66 | Colorado State Rams @ Texas State Bobcats | 0.9 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -3.50 |
| Wed 10/14 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSam Houston State Bearkats +1.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 3–16 | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ Sam Houston State Bearkats | 0.9 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Wed 10/14 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BKennesaw State Owls -3.0 | model | LOSS | 21–24 | Kennesaw State Owls @ Missouri State Bears | 1.2 | 1.91 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sun 10/11 5:20 PM | NFL | ABaltimore Ravens +3.5 @52¢ Audit 10/10: RED FLAG - BAL QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) OUT; Tyler Huntley starts. BAL EDGE Hendrickson, C Jurgens out; WR Flowers, CB Humphrey, G Voorhees questionable. ATL T Jake Matthews, EDGE Za'Darius Smith questionable. Line BAL -6 lookahead to ATL -3/-3.5. Fri splits on BAL +3: 49% bets, 64% handle. Indoors. QB news after logging (kept as a bet) — QB guard: BAL Lamar Jackson Out | model | WIN | 30–23 | Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons | 1.7 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 1:25 PM | NFL | AArizona Cardinals +5.5 @53¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side (Goff, Brissett). DET out: DB Brian Branch, CB Ya-Sin, OL Bartch, C Mays. ARI OL Isaiah Adams out, LT Paris Johnson on IR; EDGE Sweat no designation (full Fri), DL Nolen questionable. Line DET -4.5 to -5.5; total ~50 to 54.5. Splits 59% bets DET, money about even. Indoors. | model | LOSS | 21–45 | Detroit Lions @ Arizona Cardinals | 1.9 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 1:05 PM | NFL | BLos Angeles Chargers +3.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 17–23 | Denver Broncos @ Los Angeles Chargers | 1.0 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | BMiami Dolphins +7.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 24–31 | Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins | 1.9 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.00 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | ATennessee Titans +6.5 @50¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side (Stroud, Ward). HOU EDGE Anderson, TEN DT Simmons, RB Pollard full Fri, no designation. HOU WR Dell out; HOU OL Ersery, Fisher, Ingram (illness), B. Smith questionable. TEN S Hooker out, WR Tate questionable. Line HOU -3.5 open to -7; total 43.5 to 39.5. Splits 61% bets HOU, 55% money TEN. | model | LOSS | 3–26 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | 1.8 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | BIndianapolis Colts +2.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 22–34 | Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.6 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | AMiami Dolphins +6.5 @46¢ Audit 10/10: No QB on either final report (Burrow playing through back tightness). CIN WR Ja'Marr Chase (concussion), WR Higgins, S Cook questionable; S Dugger out. MIA EDGE Beal, CB R. Taylor, WR Douglas, TE Joly out. Line CIN -5.5 open to -7; total down ~6. Public 78% bets, 74% money on CIN - not on our side. Outdoor. | price | LOSS | 24–31 | Cincinnati Bengals @ Miami Dolphins | 1.6 | 2.17 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | ANew York Giants +3.5 @53¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side - WAS QB Daniels (elbow) full all week, no designation; NYG QB Winston starts. NYG WR Nabers, LT Thomas no game status; DL Golston, S Pinnock out. WAS WR Diggs out, WR McLaurin questionable. Line WAS -3 open to -3.5. Public heavily on our side: 75% bets, 94% money on NYG. QB news after logging (kept as a bet) — QB guard: WAS Marcus Mariota Out | model | WIN | 27–27 | New York Giants @ Washington Commanders | 1.5 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 10:00 AM | NFL | BTennessee Titans +6.5 @47¢ | price | LOSS | 3–26 | Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans | 1.0 | 2.13 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/11 6:30 AM | NFL | APhiladelphia Eagles +3.5 @46¢ · line moved Audit 10/10: RED FLAG - PHI RB Barkley, WRs DeVonta Smith and Hollywood Brown, C Drew Kendall, S Epps OUT; EDGE Greenard questionable; RT Lane Johnson retired 10/6. No QB issue either side (Hurts full Fri). JAX no game-status designations. London. Line JAX -2.5/-3.5 open to -7.5. Splits ~55% bets, 54% money JAX. | price | WIN | 17–19 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars | 1.2 | 2.17 | +1.17 | -4.50 |
| Sat 10/10 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BHawaii Rainbow Warriors +21.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 12–30 | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 0.9 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 7:15 PM | CFB · paper | BUtah Utes -14.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 41–24 | Kansas Jayhawks @ Utah Utes | 1.8 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.50 |
| Sat 10/10 7:15 PM | CFB · paper | BKansas Jayhawks +13.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 24–41 | Kansas Jayhawks @ Utah Utes | 1.1 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/10 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMinnesota Golden Gophers -2.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 13–41 | Minnesota Golden Gophers @ Purdue Boilermakers | 1.2 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/10 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BAir Force Falcons -10.0 | model | WIN | 28–7 | Air Force Falcons @ Northern Illinois Huskies | 2.2 | 1.91 | +0.91 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/10 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -9.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 27–24 | James Madison Dukes @ Georgia Southern Eagles | 1.7 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/10 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | AVirginia Cavaliers -9.5 @51¢ · line moved Audit 10/10: No QB injury either side; SYR benched Steve Angeli for Amari Odom (performance), UVA QB Pribula starts. UVA WR Trell Ward, RB Peyton Lewis on recent reports, status unclear. UVA off 38-7 loss at FSU. Line UVA -6.5 open to -9.5 (toward our side). Virginia ~91% of handle (Wed) - public heavily on our side. | model | LOSS | 28–25 | Syracuse Orange @ Virginia Cavaliers | 1.5 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +4.50 |
| Sat 10/10 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisiana Ragin Cajuns +3.5 @57¢ | model | WIN | 31–32 | Louisiana Ragin Cajuns @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 1.3 | 1.75 | +0.75 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BGeorgia Southern Eagles +6.5 @42¢ | price | WIN | 24–27 | James Madison Dukes @ Georgia Southern Eagles | 1.2 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNevada Wolf Pack -9.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 30–13 | Nevada Wolf Pack @ UTEP Miners | 2.2 | 2.00 | +1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | ANorth Dakota State Bison -2.5 @55¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side (Hayes, Arnold; no injuries reported in Sat previews). UNLV WR questionable tags still unconfirmed. NDSU 5-0, Fargo to Las Vegas, indoors. Market NDSU -3.5; total 51.5 open to 48.5. Opening spread and splits not found. | model | LOSS | 7–13 | North Dakota State Bison @ UNLV Rebels | 1.5 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/10 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMemphis Tigers -14.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 38–13 | UAB Blazers @ Memphis Tigers | 1.4 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/10 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BCoastal Carolina Chanticleers +4.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 27–21 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Marshall Thundering Herd | 0.9 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/10 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Diego State Aztecs +13.5 @46¢ | price | LOSS | 14–66 | San Diego State Aztecs @ Oregon State Beavers | 1.1 | 2.17 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AVanderbilt Commodores +10.5 @55¢ Audit 10/10: VAN QB Jared Curtis probable, expected back; Ole Miss QB Chambliss healthy. Ole Miss RB Kewan Lacy questionable; OL Chapman, Faulkner, WR Hartrup, S G. Lacy out. VAN CB Lackey out, OL M. Smith doubtful. Market Ole Miss -8.5 to -10. Wed splits on VAN +10: 23% bets, 80% handle. Final availability report ~90 min before kick. | model | LOSS | 17–52 | Ole Miss Rebels @ Vanderbilt Commodores | 2.2 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNotre Dame Fighting Irish -41.5 @42¢ | price | WIN | 58–7 | Stanford Cardinal @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.4 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BCalifornia Golden Bears +7.5 @49¢ | price | WIN | 25–20 | Virginia Tech Hokies @ California Golden Bears | 1.4 | 2.04 | +1.04 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BWestern Michigan Broncos -13.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 38–7 | Kent State Golden Flashes @ Western Michigan Broncos | 1.3 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AUCLA Bruins +12.5 @53¢ Audit 10/8: ORE QB Dante Moore OUT (concussion); Dylan Raiola makes first ORE start. UCLA QB Iamaleava healthy. Both off a bye; UCLA 4-0 ATS. Line ORE -12.5 open to -11.5. Money 66% ORE, tickets 50/50. Eugene forecast not found. | model | WIN | 17–15 | UCLA Bruins @ Oregon Ducks | 1.2 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +2.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AOklahoma Sooners +5.5 @38¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side (Manning, Mateer). OU OL Fasusi and Hinton now OUT, OL Pierre-Louis doubtful, CB Eli Bowen questionable (ankle, hurt Thu). TEX per 10/8: OL Coleman out, WR Lockett, DL Terry doubtful. Line TEX -9.5 open to -7.5 (some books -8.5). Tickets 84% TEX, money 65% OU (Wed). Neutral site Dallas. | price | WIN | 27–24 | Texas Longhorns @ Oklahoma Sooners | 1.2 | 2.63 | +1.63 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Tech Hokies -7.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 20–25 | Virginia Tech Hokies @ California Golden Bears | 1.2 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +2.50 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUCLA Bruins +9.5 @44¢ | price | WIN | 17–15 | UCLA Bruins @ Oregon Ducks | 1.2 | 2.27 | +1.27 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BVanderbilt Commodores +5.5 @38¢ | price | LOSS | 17–52 | Ole Miss Rebels @ Vanderbilt Commodores | 1.1 | 2.63 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sat 10/10 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BOhio Bobcats -3.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 31–14 | Central Michigan Chippewas @ Ohio Bobcats | 1.1 | 1.96 | +0.96 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/10 9:45 AM | CFB · paper | ASouth Carolina Gamecocks +7.5 @40¢ Audit 10/10: No QB on either injury report found (SC QB Sellers). SC DB Q. Scott, EDGE J. Walker, DL Brownlow-Dindy questionable; FL WR Vernell Brown II questionable. Market FL -10.5 to -12.5 by book; opener not found. Florida ~87% of handle (Wed snapshot) - public not on our side. Gainesville: 80% rain chance, possible storms, wind 13-15 mph. | price | WIN | 38–19 | South Carolina Gamecocks @ Florida Gators | 1.5 | 2.50 | +1.50 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | APittsburgh Panthers -3.5 @52¢ Audit 10/8: RED FLAG - PITT QB Mason Heintschel OUT for season (torn ACL); transfer Holden Geriner starts. UNC QB Billy Edwards Jr. healthy. Line has held at PITT -3.5. Pitt 5-0, extra day of rest (played Fri 10/2). Belichick on hot seat. Sunny, 78F. Splits not found. | model | LOSS | 17–21 | North Carolina Tar Heels @ Pittsburgh Panthers | 2.5 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | ANebraska Cornhuskers +3.5 @36¢ Audit 10/10: No QB issue either side (Hoover, Colandrea starting). IND DBs A.J. Harris, J. Sharpe status unclear. Line IND -9.5 open to -7.5 (open and current from different books). DK splits 56% bets, 73% handle on IND - public not on our side. Lincoln: sunny 76F, wind 18 mph gusting to 36. | price | WIN | 17–20 | Indiana Hoosiers @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 1.6 | 2.78 | +1.78 | -5.50 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | AUCF Knights +7.5 @42¢ Audit 10/10: RED FLAG - UCF QB Alonza Barnett III OUT again; Keyone Jenkins starts. UCF centers Spell, Maiava and LB Carter out. OSU QB Mestemaker healthy; OSU T Braydon Nelson game-time decision, WR Young, LG Dickson questionable. OSU off a bye. Market OSU -10.5 (-9.5 earlier in week). Splits not found. | price | LOSS | 28–42 | UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1.6 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | AUCF Knights +10.5 @56¢ Audit 10/10: RED FLAG - UCF QB Alonza Barnett III OUT again; Keyone Jenkins starts. UCF centers Spell, Maiava and LB Carter out. OSU QB Mestemaker healthy; OSU T Braydon Nelson game-time decision, WR Young, LG Dickson questionable. OSU off a bye. Market OSU -10.5 (-9.5 earlier in week). Splits not found. | model | LOSS | 28–42 | UCF Knights @ Oklahoma State Cowboys | 1.5 | 1.79 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -2.5 @56¢ | model | WIN | 20–17 | Tulane Green Wave @ Army Black Knights | 1.3 | 1.79 | +0.79 | +1.50 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BSacramento State Hornets +9.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 10–38 | Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons | 1.1 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/10 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BSacramento State Hornets +6.5 @45¢ | price | LOSS | 10–38 | Sacramento State Hornets @ Bowling Green Falcons | 1.0 | 2.22 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Fri 10/9 7:15 PM | CFB · paper | BIowa State Cyclones +6.5 @36¢ | price | LOSS | 10–24 | Iowa State Cyclones @ BYU Cougars | 1.1 | 2.78 | -1.00 | -5.50 |
| Fri 10/9 6:00 PM | CFB · paper | BWashington State Cougars +3.5 @46¢ | price | WIN | 16–17 | Washington State Cougars @ Utah State Aggies | 1.3 | 2.17 | +1.17 | -0.50 |
| Fri 10/9 6:00 PM | CFB · paper | BIowa Hawkeyes +2.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 41–24 | Iowa Hawkeyes @ Washington Huskies | 1.1 | 2.00 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Thu 10/8 5:15 PM | NFL | BTampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5 @53¢ held at lean — QB guard: TB Baker Mayfield Out | model | WIN | 24–16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | 2.8 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.00 |
| Thu 10/8 5:15 PM | NFL | ATampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 @36¢ Audit 10/8: RED FLAG - TB QB Baker Mayfield OUT (thumb); rookie Jalon Daniels makes 2nd start. Dak Prescott healthy. TB also out S Winfield, CB Morrison. Line moved from DAL -3.5 lookahead to DAL -8/-8.5. Public on DAL (~67-69% bets, 68-90% money). Short week both; indoors. | price | WIN | 24–16 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys | 1.8 | 2.78 | +1.78 | -3.00 |
| Thu 10/8 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | ASouth Florida Bulls +7.5 @55¢ Audit 10/8: no QB issue either side (Van Buren, McCown healthy). USF S Ayden Jackson missed last game, status unconfirmed. Short week both; USF travels Tampa to San Antonio; Alamodome indoors. Market UTSA -6.5 to -7. Opening line and splits not found. | model | WIN | 24–31 | South Florida Bulls @ UTSA Roadrunners | 1.6 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.50 |
| Thu 10/8 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BArkansas State Red Wolves -1.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 49–56 | South Alabama Jaguars @ Arkansas State Red Wolves | 1.2 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +1.50 |
| Thu 10/8 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLiberty Flames -13.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 35–3 | Sam Houston State Bearkats @ Liberty Flames | 1.4 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Wed 10/7 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida International Panthers -5.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 22–3 | New Mexico State Aggies @ Florida International Panthers | 1.2 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +1.50 |
| Wed 10/7 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico State Aggies +3.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 3–22 | New Mexico State Aggies @ Florida International Panthers | 1.1 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -3.50 |
| Sun 10/4 5:20 PM | NFL | BCarolina Panthers +3.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 32–26 | Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers | 1.6 | 1.89 | +0.89 | -0.50 |
| Sun 10/4 5:20 PM | NFL | ACarolina Panthers +2.5 @42¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Bryce Young no designation). CAR out: LG Damien Lewis, WR Legette; questionable: RT Freeling (concussion, full Fri, needs clearance), WR Coker; both starting CBs on IR. DET: OL Bartch out; CB Reed, EDGE Wonnum questionable. Line moved against us: DET -2.5/-3 open to -3.5. Public on DET (60%+ bets, 76% money). Rain likely. | price | WIN | 32–26 | Detroit Lions @ Carolina Panthers | 1.5 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -1.50 |
| Sun 10/4 1:25 PM | NFL | ALas Vegas Raiders +4.5 @51¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side; Mahomes (knee) full practice all week, no designation; Cousins starts for LV. KC LT Josh Simmons OUT (4th straight). LV G Jackson Powers-Johnson OUT; TE Bowers limited (knee). Line moved our way: KC -5.5 open to -4.5. Public on KC; Caesars reports LV a book liability. Dome. | model | WIN | 27–30 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Las Vegas Raiders | 1.4 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/4 1:25 PM | NFL | BSan Francisco 49ers -2.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 24–14 | Denver Broncos @ San Francisco 49ers | 1.1 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.50 |
| Sun 10/4 1:25 PM | NFL | BSeattle Seahawks -6.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 30–23 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks | 1.0 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.00 |
| Sun 10/4 1:25 PM | NFL | ALos Angeles Chargers +6.5 @46¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Herbert, Darnold). LAC out: G Awosika, TE Kolar, WR B. Thompson, DT Tomlinson; questionable: S Derwin James, WR McConkey, CB D. Jackson (full Fri), S Molden. SEA G Zabel full, no tag. Line moved against us: SEA -6.5/-7 open to -7; our +6.5 is off market. SEA 52% bets, 61-83% money. 64F, clear. | price | LOSS | 23–30 | Los Angeles Chargers @ Seattle Seahawks | 0.8 | 2.17 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sun 10/4 1:05 PM | NFL | AMiami Dolphins +9.5 @45¢ Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Willis MIA, K. Murray MIN). MIN WR1 Justin Jefferson OUT (ankle). MIA out: WR Douglas, EDGE Beal, CB Duck; RB Achane on IR. Line moved against us: MIN -7.5 open to -10 consensus (-9.5 to -11.5); total 43.5 to 38.5. Public heavily on MIN (~72% bets, 74% money). Dome. | price | WIN | 10–15 | Miami Dolphins @ Minnesota Vikings | 1.3 | 2.22 | +1.22 | -0.50 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | ATampa Bay Buccaneers +4.5 @53¢ Audit 10/3: RED FLAG - TB QB Baker Mayfield OUT (thumb); undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels makes 1st NFL start. GB QB Love healthy. TB out: OLB Bain, CB Morrison, TE Kieft; WR Godwin status conflicting. GB out: G Banks, OL Monk, DTs Brinson and Campbell; RB Jacobs exempt list. Line now GB -3/-4 (open reports conflict); total ~39.5. GB 57% bets. 88F, 50% storms. QB news after logging (kept as a bet) — QB guard: TB Baker Mayfield Out | model | WIN | 14–17 | Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 2.8 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.50 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | AJacksonville Jaguars +2.5 @51¢ Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Lawrence, Burrow). CIN final report: S Dugger and WR C. Young out; S Cook, G Risner, DT BJ Hill questionable. JAX: CBs M. Brown and Braswell, DT Regis questionable. Line steady at CIN -2.5 since open (some books opened -3). Public tickets on JAX (61% bets) but only 26% of money. 74F, dry. | model | WIN | 22–17 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals | 2.7 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Giants +1.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 36–24 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | 1.7 | 1.96 | +0.96 | -1.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | ANew York Giants +2.5 @54¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Winston NYG, Brissett ARI). NYG: no injury designations on final report; LT Andrew Thomas cleared; EDGE Burns out for season. ARI: S Taylor-Demerson out, LB Sweat questionable. Line moved against us: NYG -2.5 open to ARI -2.5. Public on ARI (57% bets, 85% money). 66F, ~36% rain chance after 2 PM. | price | WIN | 36–24 | Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants | 1.6 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BTennessee Titans +11.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 18–24 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | 1.5 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BPhiladelphia Eagles +2.5 @46¢ | model | LOSS | 20–24 | Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles | 1.2 | 2.17 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew England Patriots +7.5 @56¢ | model | WIN | 29–26 | New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills | 1.2 | 1.79 | +0.79 | +0.50 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Jets +2.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 12–23 | New York Jets @ Chicago Bears | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BDallas Cowboys +2.5 @49¢ | model | WIN | 34–30 | Dallas Cowboys @ Houston Texans | 1.0 | 2.04 | +1.04 | -0.50 |
| Sun 10/4 10:00 AM | NFL | BTennessee Titans +9.5 @43¢ | price | WIN | 18–24 | Tennessee Titans @ Baltimore Ravens | 1.0 | 2.33 | +1.33 | -2.00 |
| Sun 10/4 6:30 AM | NFL | BWashington Commanders +4.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 13–30 | Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders | 1.1 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 10/4 6:30 AM | NFL | BWashington Commanders +2.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 13–30 | Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders | 0.9 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 8:59 PM | CFB · paper | BHawaii Rainbow Warriors -3.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 16–20 | San Jose State Spartans @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 1.0 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 8:00 PM | CFB · paper | BCincinnati Bearcats +5.5 @44¢ | price | LOSS | 7–34 | Cincinnati Bearcats @ Arizona Wildcats | 1.2 | 2.27 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 10/3 8:00 PM | CFB · paper | BCincinnati Bearcats +7.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 7–34 | Cincinnati Bearcats @ Arizona Wildcats | 1.1 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/3 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Diego State Aztecs +7.5 @49¢ | model | WIN | 31–29 | Texas State Bobcats @ San Diego State Aztecs | 1.6 | 2.04 | +1.04 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BBaylor Bears +3.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 55–19 | Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 1.5 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | ABaylor Bears +2.5 @41¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side; Baylor QB DJ Lagway starting but still limited by ankle sprain; ASU QB Boley not on report. ASU out: TE Khamari Anderson (season), OL Helton, OL Uini, DB J. Williams. ASU off a bye. Line moved against us: ASU -3.5 open to -4.5. Covers picks 63% ASU; earlier 80%-Baylor ticket figure unconfirmed. Tempe clear ~86F. | price | WIN | 55–19 | Baylor Bears @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | ASan Diego State Aztecs +6.5 @41¢ Audit 10/3: RED FLAG - SDSU mumps outbreak (14 confirmed cases): 32 on availability report (9 out, 8 doubtful); RB Sutton out, RB Kinnard doubtful, all TEs questionable/doubtful/out. SDSU QB Denegal expected to start; TXST QB Jackson healthy. Line moved hard against us: TXST -3.5 open to -8/-9.5. Game still scheduled as of Fri. Splits not found. | price | WIN | 31–29 | Texas State Bobcats @ San Diego State Aztecs | 0.9 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/3 6:30 PM | CFB · paper | AFresno State Bulldogs +2.5 Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (Mandal, Pinnick). Fresno LT Brayden Walton (ankle) status unconfirmed; OL depth thin (Fonua, McHarg out for year). WSU CB1 Jalil Tucker still day-to-day after missing 3 games; RB Vorhees game-time decision. Line moved against us: WSU -1.5 open to -2.5. Pullman clear, ~48F. Splits not found. | model | WIN | 26–6 | Fresno State Bulldogs @ Washington State Cougars | 2.0 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 6:30 PM | CFB · paper | BWashington State Cougars -2.5 @50¢ | price | LOSS | 6–26 | Fresno State Bulldogs @ Washington State Cougars | 1.1 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisiana Ragin Cajuns -6.0 | model | LOSS | 23–20 | Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | 0.9 | 1.91 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | AWashington Huskies +7.5 @45¢ | price | WIN | 21–25 | Washington Huskies @ USC Trojans | 1.9 | 2.22 | +1.22 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | ATexas Tech Red Raiders -13.5 @52¢ Audit 10/3: No QB issue either side (CU starts Isaac Wilson after benching Julian Lewis; TTU QB Will Hammond healthy). CU doubtful: EDGE Lamont Lester Jr., 3 DBs, TE Atkins; CB Ashley out. TTU LT Sampson on report, CB Boyd questionable. Line moved against us: TTU -15.5 open to -13.5. Covers picks 58% TTU (not bet splits). Clear, ~77F. | model | WIN | 29–7 | Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Colorado Buffaloes | 1.8 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/3 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -1.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 29–31 | Army Black Knights @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 1.4 | 1.96 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/3 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -3.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 29–31 | Army Black Knights @ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -4.50 |
| Sat 10/3 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Florida Bulls -5.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 13–17 | Temple Owls @ South Florida Bulls | 0.9 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BRice Owls +9.5 @43¢ | price | WIN | 14–16 | UTSA Roadrunners @ Rice Owls | 0.9 | 2.33 | +1.33 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | AColorado State Rams +2.5 @37¢ · line moved Audit 10/3: RED FLAG - CSU QB Hauss Hejny (hamstring) downgraded to DOUBTFUL; K'saan Farrar expected to make 3rd straight start. Oregon St QB Braden Atkinson healthy. Line moved hard against us: OSU -3.5 open to -6.5; our +2.5 is well off market. Covers picks 57% OSU (not bet splits). Clear, 80F, NE wind ~18 mph. | price | LOSS | 26–56 | Oregon State Beavers @ Colorado State Rams | 1.9 | 2.70 | -1.00 | -4.50 |
| Sat 10/3 1:15 PM | CFB · paper | BIllinois Fighting Illini -9.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 17–24 | Purdue Boilermakers @ Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.4 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/3 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico Lobos -22.5 | model | WIN | 61–7 | UTEP Miners @ New Mexico Lobos | 3.3 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMaryland Terrapins +12.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 23–48 | Maryland Terrapins @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 1.0 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNebraska Cornhuskers -14.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 48–23 | Maryland Terrapins @ Nebraska Cornhuskers | 1.0 | 2.00 | +1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:45 PM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -17.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 45–17 | Marshall Thundering Herd @ James Madison Dukes | 2.0 | 1.89 | +0.89 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMiami (OH) RedHawks -13.5 | model | LOSS | 20–24 | Bowling Green Falcons @ Miami (OH) RedHawks | 2.3 | 1.91 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AOhio Bobcats -3.5 @51¢ Audit 10/3: Ohio QB Matt Vezza confirmed for 3rd straight start; Nick Poulos (Wk2 injury) still out, no timeline. Kent St QB Dru DeShields healthy. Ohio RB Duncan Brune expected available; LB Charlie Christopher likely out. Line moved against us: Ohio -5.5 open to -3.5. Clear, 64F, wind 8 mph. Splits not found. | model | LOSS | 13–10 | Ohio Bobcats @ Kent State Golden Flashes | 1.7 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNorth Dakota State Bison -19.0 | model | WIN | 28–0 | Wyoming Cowboys @ North Dakota State Bison | 1.6 | 1.91 | +0.91 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BAuburn Tigers +5.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 14–24 | Auburn Tigers @ Tennessee Volunteers | 1.2 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMissouri Tigers +2.5 @37¢ | price | WIN | 45–17 | Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers | 1.2 | 2.70 | +1.70 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMemphis Tigers -20.0 | model | WIN | 59–8 | Memphis Tigers @ Charlotte 49ers | 1.2 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BOhio Bobcats -4.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 13–10 | Ohio Bobcats @ Kent State Golden Flashes | 1.2 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BOld Dominion Monarchs +1.5 @50¢ | price | LOSS | 10–42 | Old Dominion Monarchs @ Georgia State Panthers | 1.2 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUNLV Rebels -2.5 @51¢ | price | WIN | 39–31 | California Golden Bears @ UNLV Rebels | 1.2 | 1.96 | +0.96 | -1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Gators -7.5 @39¢ | price | LOSS | 17–45 | Florida Gators @ Missouri Tigers | 1.1 | 2.56 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BGeorgia State Panthers +1.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 42–10 | Old Dominion Monarchs @ Georgia State Panthers | 1.0 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +4.00 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Cavaliers -1.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 7–38 | Virginia Cavaliers @ Florida State Seminoles | 0.9 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 10/3 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BIowa Hawkeyes +9.5 @38¢ | price | LOSS | 14–31 | Ohio State Buckeyes @ Iowa Hawkeyes | 0.9 | 2.63 | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| Sat 10/3 11:00 AM | CFB · paper | BToledo Rockets -17.5 @54¢ | model | LOSS | 39–24 | Toledo Rockets @ Ball State Cardinals | 1.1 | 1.85 | -1.00 | +3.50 |
| Sat 10/3 10:00 AM | CFB · paper | BBuffalo Bulls +13.5 | model | WIN | 17–20 | Western Michigan Broncos @ Buffalo Bulls | 1.0 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BUConn Huskies +6.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 41–42 | Syracuse Orange @ UConn Huskies | 1.4 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BUCF Knights +11.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 17–27 | UCF Knights @ Houston Cougars | 1.3 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +1.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BBoston College Eagles +21.5 @56¢ | model | WIN | 16–25 | Boston College Eagles @ SMU Mustangs | 1.3 | 1.79 | +0.79 | +0.50 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMississippi State Bulldogs +2.5 @36¢ | price | LOSS | 23–56 | Alabama Crimson Tide @ Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.2 | 2.78 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMichigan Wolverines -7.5 @41¢ | price | LOSS | 14–20 | Michigan Wolverines @ Minnesota Golden Gophers | 1.1 | 2.44 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BWake Forest Demon Deacons -14.5 @41¢ | price | WIN | 57–3 | Stanford Cardinal @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | +0.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BUConn Huskies +4.5 @43¢ | price | WIN | 41–42 | Syracuse Orange @ UConn Huskies | 1.0 | 2.33 | +1.33 | -2.00 |
| Sat 10/3 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders +20.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 0–55 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Kansas Jayhawks | 1.0 | 1.89 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Fri 10/2 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Tech Hokies -7.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 33–35 | Pittsburgh Panthers @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 1.3 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| Fri 10/2 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BPittsburgh Panthers +3.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 35–33 | Pittsburgh Panthers @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 1.2 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.00 |
| Fri 10/2 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLiberty Flames -6.5 @56¢ | model | WIN | 30–14 | Liberty Flames @ Delaware Blue Hens | 1.2 | 1.79 | +0.79 | +1.00 |
| Fri 10/2 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BDelaware Blue Hens +5.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 14–30 | Liberty Flames @ Delaware Blue Hens | 1.0 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Thu 10/1 5:15 PM | NFL | BCleveland Browns +2.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 27–24 | Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns | 1.2 | 2.00 | +1.00 | -0.50 |
| Mon 9/28 5:15 PM | NFL | AChicago Bears +3.5 @53¢ Audit 9/26: RED FLAG: Bears QB Caleb Williams (hamstring) and Bagent (concussion) DNP all week; Case Keenum set to start (Sun-Times 9/25), designations due Sat. K Santos (hip) DNP Thu/Fri. PHI: TE Goedert, WR H. Brown DNP Fri; WR Smith, EDGE Greenard limited; Hurts fine. Pinnacle CHI +3.5 (9/22) to +4.5 (9/23-26), against us; opened PHI -1.5 pre-injury. Public 72% of bets on PHI, 55% money on CHI. QB news after logging (kept as a bet) — QB guard: CHI Caleb Williams Out | model | WIN | 27–7 | Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears | 1.2 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Sun 9/27 1:25 PM | NFL | BDallas Cowboys +1.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 31–34 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | 1.3 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sun 9/27 1:25 PM | NFL | BLas Vegas Raiders +3.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 35–27 | Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints | 1.2 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.00 |
| Sun 9/27 1:25 PM | NFL | BDallas Cowboys +3.5 @58¢ | model | WIN | 31–34 | Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | 0.9 | 1.72 | +0.72 | +0.00 |
| Sun 9/27 1:05 PM | NFL | BSan Francisco 49ers -8.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 36–30 | Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | 1.5 | 1.96 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sun 9/27 1:05 PM | NFL | BMinnesota Vikings +1.5 @55¢ | price | WIN | 23–16 | Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 1.1 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +2.50 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | BMiami Dolphins +10.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 10–24 | Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins | 2.2 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | ANew York Jets +7.5 @59¢ Audit 9/26: No QB issue either side: Geno Smith starts for NYJ (Levis signed 9/22 for depth); Goff fine. NYJ out: S Fitzpatrick, LB Mauigoa, TE Taylor; RB Nwangwu doubtful; WR Mitchell, EDGE Ossai questionable. DET out: G Bartch, S Harper; OL Mahogany, Ratledge, Miller questionable. Dome. Pinnacle NYJ +7 (-123) flat since 9/21; RotoWire DET -9.5 open to -6.5. Public 72% of bets, 89% money on DET. | model | WIN | 24–31 | New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | 1.7 | 1.69 | +0.69 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | AIndianapolis Colts +3.5 @58¢ Audit 9/26: No QB issue either side: Stroud and Daniel Jones not on the report. HOU out: WR1 Nico Collins (hamstring), G Ingram, DE Clowney, S Stewart, LB Hummel; OT Trent Brown questionable. IND out: WR Pierce, WR Dulin; CB Ward questionable. Both 0-2. Pinnacle IND +3 (9/22) to +2 (9/24-26), toward us; RotoWire HOU -1.5 open to -2.5. Public 53% of bets, 94% of money on HOU (against us). | model | WIN | 19–17 | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | 1.4 | 1.72 | +0.72 | +2.00 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | BHouston Texans -3.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 17–19 | Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | BDetroit Lions -7.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 31–24 | New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Giants -3.5 @43¢ | price | WIN | 12–7 | Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | 1.1 | 2.33 | +1.33 | -1.00 |
| Sun 9/27 10:00 AM | NFL | BWashington Commanders +9.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 33–31 | Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders | 0.8 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/26 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets -3.5 @48¢ | model | LOSS | 27–34 | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets @ Stanford Cardinal | 1.3 | 2.08 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 7:00 PM | CFB · paper | BFresno State Bulldogs -13.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 38–24 | Rice Owls @ Fresno State Bulldogs | 1.0 | 1.92 | +0.92 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 6:00 PM | CFB · paper | BOregon State Beavers -9.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 33–7 | Oregon State Beavers @ UTEP Miners | 1.6 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 6:00 PM | CFB · paper | BUTEP Miners +6.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 7–33 | Oregon State Beavers @ UTEP Miners | 1.1 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sat 9/26 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BTulsa Golden Hurricane +7.5 @55¢ | model | LOSS | 6–34 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Arkansas Razorbacks | 1.4 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Atlantic Owls -13.5 @50¢ | model | WIN | 45–17 | Florida Atlantic Owls @ UL Monroe Warhawks | 0.9 | 2.00 | +1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:45 PM | CFB · paper | BMississippi State Bulldogs -7.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 31–24 | Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.1 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:45 PM | CFB · paper | BMissouri Tigers +6.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 24–31 | Missouri Tigers @ Mississippi State Bulldogs | 1.1 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +3.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BTexas A&M Aggies +10.5 @55¢ | model | LOSS | 6–35 | Texas A&M Aggies @ LSU Tigers | 1.4 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +2.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BArizona Wildcats -9.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 34–24 | Arizona Wildcats @ Washington State Cougars | 1.3 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BJacksonville State Gamecocks -8.5 | model | WIN | 23–13 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks | 1.5 | 1.91 | +0.91 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/26 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BArkansas State Red Wolves -7.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 17–14 | Kennesaw State Owls @ Arkansas State Red Wolves | 1.3 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BKansas State Wildcats -7.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 26–31 | Kansas State Wildcats @ Cincinnati Bearcats | 1.1 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/26 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Carolina Gamecocks +13.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 18–49 | South Carolina Gamecocks @ Alabama Crimson Tide | 1.1 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | AWest Virginia Mountaineers -5.5 @34¢ Audit 9/26: No QB issue either side: no QB on the Big 12 availability report. OSU LT Nelson out; G Hanson questionable but expected back; DT Oates questionable; WR Barnes probable. WVU: nickel Snyder, RB Devine, DL Wiley out. Pinnacle WVU -2.5 (9/21) to -1 (9/22) to -2 (9/23-26), well short of our -5.5 price play. Morgantown 7 PM ET: mostly cloudy, 30% storms, calm. No public splits found. | price | LOSS | 24–41 | Oklahoma State Cowboys @ West Virginia Mountaineers | 0.9 | 2.94 | -1.00 | -3.50 |
| Sat 9/26 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -5.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 46–20 | James Madison Dukes @ Old Dominion Monarchs | 1.4 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +1.50 |
| Sat 9/26 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Cavaliers -21.5 @41¢ | price | WIN | 42–3 | Delaware Blue Hens @ Virginia Cavaliers | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/26 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -7.5 @41¢ | price | WIN | 46–20 | James Madison Dukes @ Old Dominion Monarchs | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 2:00 PM | CFB · paper | BPenn State Nittany Lions -9.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 20–24 | Wisconsin Badgers @ Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.5 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 2:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Florida Bulls -17.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 14–6 | South Florida Bulls @ Bowling Green Falcons | 1.5 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 2:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMichigan State Spartans +1.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 13–31 | Nebraska Cornhuskers @ Michigan State Spartans | 1.2 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -5.00 |
| Sat 9/26 1:15 PM | CFB · paper | BVanderbilt Commodores +9.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 15–21 | Vanderbilt Commodores @ Auburn Tigers | 1.0 | 1.92 | +0.92 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico Lobos -11.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 42–18 | New Mexico Lobos @ New Mexico State Aggies | 1.8 | 1.85 | +0.85 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | AFlorida Gators -7.5 @35¢ Audit 9/26: No QB issue either side: FLA Philo and Ole Miss Chambliss healthy. Ole Miss (No. 4, 3-0) lists 9 out: CBs Beavers, Barney, Lincoln; S Preston, Tutt; LBs Davis, Garrett; OL Chapman, Faulkner; RB Lacy game-time. FLA WR Singleton questionable. OM travels off emotional LSU win; sunny 83F. Pinnacle FLA -3 (9/21) to -3.5 (9/26), short of our -7.5 price play. Public 76% of bets on Ole Miss. | price | WIN | 52–28 | Ole Miss Rebels @ Florida Gators | 1.3 | 2.86 | +1.86 | -4.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUConn Huskies +2.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 21–24 | UConn Huskies @ Miami (OH) RedHawks | 1.3 | 2.38 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BIowa Hawkeyes +5.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 20–19 | Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.2 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMichigan Wolverines -7.5 @39¢ | price | LOSS | 19–20 | Iowa Hawkeyes @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.2 | 2.56 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BOle Miss Rebels +2.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 28–52 | Ole Miss Rebels @ Florida Gators | 1.2 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUtah Utes -13.5 @35¢ | price | WIN | 31–17 | Utah Utes @ Iowa State Cyclones | 1.1 | 2.86 | +1.86 | -6.00 |
| Sat 9/26 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Gators -2.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 52–28 | Ole Miss Rebels @ Florida Gators | 1.1 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 11:00 AM | CFB · paper | ANorthern Illinois Huskies +9.5 @49¢ Audit 9/26: No QB issue either side: NIU QB Dickens and GSU QB Brown not on reports (NIU files no report before MW play; interim HC says dinged up, nothing season-ending; OL shuffled all 3 games). NIU 0-3 at GSU 2-1; sunny, 81F, 2 PM ET. Pinnacle NIU +9.5 (9/21) to +10.5 (9/26), toward us; market GSU -10.5. Splits about even (51% on NIU). | model | LOSS | 14–35 | Northern Illinois Huskies @ Georgia State Panthers | 1.0 | 2.04 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/26 10:30 AM | CFB · paper | BUCLA Bruins -3.5 @41¢ | price | WIN | 54–3 | UCLA Bruins @ Maryland Terrapins | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/26 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BColorado State Rams +12.5 @49¢ | model | LOSS | 45–59 | Colorado State Rams @ UTSA Roadrunners | 1.4 | 2.04 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/26 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BKent State Golden Flashes -7.5 @35¢ | price | WIN | 26–13 | Ball State Cardinals @ Kent State Golden Flashes | 1.3 | 2.86 | +1.86 | -5.00 |
| Sat 9/26 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BTexas Longhorns -7.5 @36¢ | price | LOSS | 20–17 | Texas Longhorns @ Tennessee Volunteers | 1.2 | 2.78 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/26 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BTennessee Volunteers +2.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 17–20 | Texas Longhorns @ Tennessee Volunteers | 1.1 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Fri 9/25 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BClemson Tigers +1.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 24–10 | Clemson Tigers @ California Golden Bears | 1.5 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +4.00 |
| Fri 9/25 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BClemson Tigers -3.5 @39¢ | price | WIN | 24–10 | Clemson Tigers @ California Golden Bears | 1.2 | 2.56 | +1.56 | -1.00 |
| Fri 9/25 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNorthwestern Wildcats +21.0 | model | WIN | 23–29 | Northwestern Wildcats @ Indiana Hoosiers | 1.0 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +0.50 |
| Fri 9/25 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BUAB Blazers +2.5 @35¢ | price | WIN | 24–20 | Navy Midshipmen @ UAB Blazers | 1.3 | 2.86 | +1.86 | -4.00 |
| Fri 9/25 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNavy Midshipmen -6.5 @54¢ | model | LOSS | 20–24 | Navy Midshipmen @ UAB Blazers | 1.3 | 1.85 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Fri 9/25 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -7.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 21–17 | Army Black Knights @ Temple Owls | 1.3 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Fri 9/25 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BTemple Owls +1.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 17–21 | Army Black Knights @ Temple Owls | 0.9 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Thu 9/24 5:15 PM | NFL | AGreen Bay Packers -7.5 @42¢ · line moved Audit 9/24: No QB issue either side: Love starts; ATL starts Penix Jr. (back from ACL, replaces Rush), Tua QB2. GB out: WR1 Jayden Reed, G Banks, OL Bako-Bewele; RB Jacobs still on exempt list. ATL DE Ebukam out. Pinnacle GB -7.5 (9/21) to -4.5 (9/24) on the Penix news, against us; public 73-79% on GB (our side). Short week; Lambeau ~60F, light wind, dry. | price | LOSS | 14–35 | Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers | 1.6 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Thu 9/24 5:15 PM | NFL | BGreen Bay Packers -5.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 14–35 | Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers | 1.4 | 1.96 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Thu 9/24 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLiberty Flames -6.5 @34¢ | price | WIN | 34–17 | Liberty Flames @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 1.3 | 2.94 | +1.94 | -4.50 |
| Mon 9/21 5:15 PM | NFL | ANew York Giants +7.0 Audit 9/19: no QB issue either side (Dart, Stafford). Rams WR1 Puka Nacua DNP Fri (hip, new), WR Whittington and S Kinchens DNP; Garrett on IR; Aaron Donald says he plans to play. NYG CB Adebo to IR, CB Banks DNP Fri (calf), LT Thomas limited. Sat designations not yet posted. Line moved toward us: LAR -7.5 open to -7; 82% tickets/79% money on NYG (public heavily with us). MNF, SoFi. | model | LOSS | 6–28 | New York Giants @ Los Angeles Rams | 1.7 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/20 5:20 PM | NFL | BKansas City Chiefs -7.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 33–30 | Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sun 9/20 1:25 PM | NFL | BMiami Dolphins +13.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 13–35 | Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers | 0.9 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 9/20 1:05 PM | NFL | AJacksonville Jaguars +2.5 @47¢ · line moved Audit 9/19: no QB issue either side (Lawrence, Nix). JAX WR1 Brian Thomas Jr. cleared; no JAX designations. DEN WR Marvin Mims OUT (foot), RB RJ Harvey questionable (hamstring). DEN on short week after MNF loss at KC. Line flat: DEN -2/-2.5 open to -2.5 now (BetMGM -3); 71% tickets/90% money on JAX (public heavily with us). Denver Sun ~72F, 60% chance showers/t-storm after noon. | model | LOSS | 13–20 | Jacksonville Jaguars @ Denver Broncos | 2.4 | 2.13 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sun 9/20 1:05 PM | NFL | ALas Vegas Raiders +7.5 @57¢ · line moved Audit 9/19: no QB issue either side (Cousins, Herbert). LV TE Brock Bowers DOUBTFUL (knee, game-time test), CB Darien Porter OUT. LAC WR1 Ladd McConkey questionable (ribs, LP Fri), LT Trey Pipkins OUT, DB Molden OUT; Tart, Mack full. Line moved toward us: LAC -8.5 open to -6.5 now. Splits mixed: 63% tickets/56% money on LV (ScoresAndOdds) vs DK 86% handle on LAC. SoFi, no weather. | model | WIN | 26–14 | Las Vegas Raiders @ Los Angeles Chargers | 2.0 | 1.75 | +0.75 | +1.00 |
| Sun 9/20 10:00 AM | NFL | BAtlanta Falcons +1.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 3–34 | Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons | 1.8 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sun 9/20 10:00 AM | NFL | AMinnesota Vikings +5.5 @52¢ Audit 9/19: RED FLAG. Kyler Murray (concussion) ruled OUT Fri; Carson Wentz starts, McCarthy backup. RT Brian O'Neill questionable (knee), RB Jordan Mason to IR, WR Jauan Jennings out. Bears: zero players with designations. Line CHI -3.5 open, peaked -5.5, now -4.5; 64% tickets/83% money on CHI (public against us). Chicago Sun ~70F, showers, gusts 20-30 mph. | model | WIN | 9–3 | Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears | 1.6 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +1.00 |
| Sun 9/20 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Jets +4.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 17–20 | Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets | 1.4 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +1.50 |
| Sun 9/20 10:00 AM | NFL | BNew York Jets +2.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 17–20 | Green Bay Packers @ New York Jets | 1.3 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sun 9/20 10:00 AM | NFL | BHouston Texans -4.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 6–20 | Cincinnati Bengals @ Houston Texans | 1.1 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/19 8:00 PM | CFB · paper | BFresno State Bulldogs -7.5 @42¢ | price | WIN | 26–10 | Fresno State Bulldogs @ San Jose State Spartans | 1.1 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -3.50 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00 PM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes +2.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 26–13 | James Madison Dukes @ San Diego State Aztecs | 1.1 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 7:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Diego State Aztecs -3.5 @41¢ | price | LOSS | 13–26 | James Madison Dukes @ San Diego State Aztecs | 0.9 | 2.44 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/19 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisiana Ragin Cajuns -7.5 | model | LOSS | 21–14 | UAB Blazers @ Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | 1.8 | 1.91 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | ANew Mexico Lobos +23.5 @53¢ Audit 9/19: no QB issue either side. OU QB Mateer healthy; UNM rotates Moga/Fa'avae (Layne out, known at open). OU LT Fasusi out (shoulder), WR Trell Harris out indefinitely, LB Kip Lewis likely out. UNM RG Tasi may return. No suspensions. Line moved toward us: OU -23.5 open to -21.5 now; only split found 54% tickets on UNM (9/17). Norman Sat ~98F, hot and dry, S wind 10-13 mph. | model | WIN | 6–14 | New Mexico Lobos @ Oklahoma Sooners | 1.7 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +2.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLSU Tigers -2.5 @55¢ | model | LOSS | 24–32 | LSU Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels | 1.6 | 1.82 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BColorado Buffaloes +2.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 7–41 | Colorado Buffaloes @ Northwestern Wildcats | 1.1 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/19 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLSU Tigers -3.5 @42¢ | price | LOSS | 24–32 | LSU Tigers @ Ole Miss Rebels | 1.0 | 2.38 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BUCF Knights -17.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 44–30 | Georgia State Panthers @ UCF Knights | 2.4 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNevada Wolf Pack -3.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 20–27 | Nevada Wolf Pack @ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 2.2 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Gators -2.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 44–39 | Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers | 1.1 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/19 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Gators -4.5 @40¢ | price | WIN | 44–39 | Florida Gators @ Auburn Tigers | 1.1 | 2.50 | +1.50 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/19 1:15 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Carolina Gamecocks -4.0 | model | LOSS | 34–41 | Mississippi State Bulldogs @ South Carolina Gamecocks | 1.1 | 1.91 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/19 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BDuke Blue Devils -9.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 35–7 | Stanford Cardinal @ Duke Blue Devils | 1.3 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 1:00 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisiana Tech Bulldogs +20.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 19–36 | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs @ Baylor Bears | 0.9 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BTexas A&M Aggies -16.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 21–31 | Kentucky Wildcats @ Texas A&M Aggies | 1.6 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BCincinnati Bearcats -14.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 35–31 | Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Cincinnati Bearcats | 1.4 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/19 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisville Cardinals -4.5 @39¢ | price | WIN | 41–31 | SMU Mustangs @ Louisville Cardinals | 1.0 | 2.56 | +1.56 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/19 10:00 AM | CFB · paper | BWyoming Cowboys -3.5 @39¢ | price | LOSS | 10–24 | Wyoming Cowboys @ Central Michigan Chippewas | 1.2 | 2.56 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/19 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BNorth Texas Mean Green +3.5 @56¢ | model | LOSS | 35–49 | North Texas Mean Green @ Texas State Bobcats | 1.1 | 1.79 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/19 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BArizona State Sun Devils -7.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 24–17 | Kansas Jayhawks @ Arizona State Sun Devils | 1.1 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/19 8:30 AM | CFB · paper | BCoastal Carolina Chanticleers +2.5 @39¢ | price | LOSS | 14–22 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Delaware Blue Hens | 1.0 | 2.56 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 9/19 8:30 AM | CFB · paper | BDelaware Blue Hens -7.5 @39¢ | price | WIN | 22–14 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ Delaware Blue Hens | 1.0 | 2.56 | +1.56 | -2.50 |
| Mon 9/14 5:15 PM | NFL | BKansas City Chiefs -3.5 @43¢ | price | WIN | 31–10 | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1.5 | 2.33 | +1.33 | -1.50 |
| Mon 9/14 5:15 PM | NFL | BDenver Broncos +3.5 @59¢ | model | LOSS | 10–31 | Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs | 1.0 | 1.69 | -1.00 | +1.50 |
| Sun 9/13 5:20 PM | NFL | BNew York Giants +2.5 @47¢ | model | WIN | 28–20 | Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants | 0.9 | 2.13 | +1.13 | -0.50 |
| Sun 9/13 1:25 PM | NFL | BMiami Dolphins +3.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 13–27 | Miami Dolphins @ Las Vegas Raiders | 1.7 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/13 1:25 PM | NFL | BArizona Cardinals +10.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 26–14 | Arizona Cardinals @ Los Angeles Chargers | 1.1 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +1.00 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BTennessee Titans -3.5 @39¢ | price | LOSS | 10–23 | New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans | 1.6 | 2.56 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BIndianapolis Colts +3.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 23–41 | Baltimore Ravens @ Indianapolis Colts | 1.3 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BHouston Texans +1.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 31–36 | Buffalo Bills @ Houston Texans | 1.3 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BTampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 27–33 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals | 1.3 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BAtlanta Falcons +2.5 @43¢ | price | LOSS | 13–20 | Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 1.1 | 2.33 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sun 9/13 10:00 AM | NFL | BAtlanta Falcons +6.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 13–20 | Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers | 0.9 | 1.92 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico State Aggies +10.5 @57¢ | model | WIN | 19–29 | New Mexico State Aggies @ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 2.1 | 1.75 | +0.75 | +3.00 |
| Sat 9/12 7:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSacramento State Hornets +18.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 3–49 | Sacramento State Hornets @ Fresno State Bulldogs | 1.5 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 7:15 PM | CFB · paper | BUtah Utes -11.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 43–10 | Arkansas Razorbacks @ Utah Utes | 0.9 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 7:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNorth Dakota State Bison -3.5 @41¢ | price | WIN | 38–32 | North Dakota State Bison @ Air Force Falcons | 1.1 | 2.44 | +1.44 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | AGeorgia Southern Eagles +21.5 @57¢ | model | WIN | 7–22 | Georgia Southern Eagles @ Clemson Tigers | 3.0 | 1.75 | +0.75 | +2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BNavy Midshipmen -5.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 30–38 | Navy Midshipmen @ Florida Atlantic Owls | 2.3 | 1.89 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BFlorida Atlantic Owls +2.5 @40¢ | price | WIN | 38–30 | Navy Midshipmen @ Florida Atlantic Owls | 1.2 | 2.50 | +1.50 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BTexas Longhorns -4.5 @37¢ | price | LOSS | 24–23 | Ohio State Buckeyes @ Texas Longhorns | 1.2 | 2.70 | -1.00 | -2.50 |
| Sat 9/12 4:15 PM | CFB · paper | BSan Diego State Aztecs +11.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 10–28 | San Diego State Aztecs @ UCLA Bruins | 1.6 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BSouth Alabama Jaguars +10.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 24–28 | South Alabama Jaguars @ Tulane Green Wave | 2.5 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | AKennesaw State Owls -9.5 @49¢ | model | LOSS | 17–31 | Georgia State Panthers @ Kennesaw State Owls | 2.2 | 2.04 | -1.00 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BTennessee Volunteers -11.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 45–24 | Tennessee Volunteers @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | 1.7 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders +14.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 26–28 | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders @ Marshall Thundering Herd | 1.4 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BTulsa Golden Hurricane -13.5 @52¢ | model | LOSS | 23–17 | Tulsa Golden Hurricane @ Sam Houston State Bearkats | 1.2 | 1.92 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | ABuffalo Bulls +10.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 20–33 | Buffalo Bulls @ Florida International Panthers | 2.6 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 3:00 PM | CFB · paper | BJacksonville State Gamecocks +2.0 | model | PUSH | 27–29 | Jacksonville State Gamecocks @ Ohio Bobcats | 1.4 | 1.91 | +0.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 1:15 PM | CFB · paper | BDelaware Blue Hens +21.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 26–35 | Delaware Blue Hens @ Vanderbilt Commodores | 1.2 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:45 PM | CFB · paper | BUNLV Rebels -3.5 @54¢ | model | LOSS | 6–44 | UNLV Rebels @ North Texas Mean Green | 1.9 | 1.85 | -1.00 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUAB Blazers -10.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 26–20 | UL Monroe Warhawks @ UAB Blazers | 2.7 | 1.96 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUTSA Roadrunners -1.5 @47¢ | model | WIN | 31–26 | UTSA Roadrunners @ Texas State Bobcats | 2.6 | 2.13 | +1.13 | -3.00 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BMinnesota Golden Gophers +1.5 @53¢ | model | LOSS | 13–38 | Mississippi State Bulldogs @ Minnesota Golden Gophers | 2.4 | 1.89 | -1.00 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BSyracuse Orange -2.5 @54¢ | model | LOSS | 18–21 | California Golden Bears @ Syracuse Orange | 2.0 | 1.85 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BUCF Knights +7.5 @51¢ | model | WIN | 7–12 | UCF Knights @ Pittsburgh Panthers | 1.8 | 1.96 | +0.96 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BIllinois Fighting Illini -7.5 @41¢ | price | LOSS | 27–31 | Duke Blue Devils @ Illinois Fighting Illini | 1.1 | 2.44 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BBYU Cougars -7.5 @49¢ | model | WIN | 28–17 | Arizona Wildcats @ BYU Cougars | 1.0 | 2.04 | +1.04 | -0.50 |
| Sat 9/12 12:30 PM | CFB · paper | BCalifornia Golden Bears +2.5 @42¢ | price | WIN | 21–18 | California Golden Bears @ Syracuse Orange | 1.0 | 2.38 | +1.38 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BVirginia Tech Hokies -17.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 44–21 | Old Dominion Monarchs @ Virginia Tech Hokies | 2.2 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BKansas State Wildcats -17.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 34–7 | Washington State Cougars @ Kansas State Wildcats | 2.0 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | AAppalachian State Mountaineers +9.5 @54¢ | model | WIN | 27–24 | Appalachian State Mountaineers @ East Carolina Pirates | 1.8 | 1.85 | +0.85 | +3.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMichigan Wolverines +2.5 @37¢ | price | WIN | 17–10 | Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.7 | 2.70 | +1.70 | -2.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BPurdue Boilermakers +4.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 36–38 | Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ Purdue Boilermakers | 1.6 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +1.50 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BOklahoma Sooners -5.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 10–17 | Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.2 | 1.96 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -3.5 @51¢ | model | LOSS | 24–28 | South Florida Bulls @ Army Black Knights | 1.2 | 1.96 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BArizona State Sun Devils +14.5 | model | LOSS | 20–48 | Arizona State Sun Devils @ Texas A&M Aggies | 1.2 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BArmy Black Knights -7.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 24–28 | South Florida Bulls @ Army Black Knights | 1.1 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BOklahoma Sooners -7.5 @40¢ | price | LOSS | 10–17 | Oklahoma Sooners @ Michigan Wolverines | 1.1 | 2.50 | -1.00 | -3.00 |
| Sat 9/12 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BTemple Owls +24.5 @53¢ | model | WIN | 9–27 | Penn State Nittany Lions @ Temple Owls | 1.0 | 1.89 | +0.89 | +0.50 |
| Fri 9/11 5:00 PM | CFB · paper | BKansas Jayhawks +5.5 | model | LOSS | 21–38 | Missouri Tigers @ Kansas Jayhawks | 1.1 | 1.91 | -1.00 | +1.00 |
| Sun 9/6 4:30 PM | CFB · paper | BLouisville Cardinals +2.5 @35¢ | price | LOSS | 38–41 | Louisville Cardinals @ Ole Miss Rebels | 1.3 | 2.86 | -1.00 | -4.00 |
| Sat 9/5 7:00 PM | CFB · paper | BNew Mexico Lobos -9.5 @55¢ | model | WIN | 38–7 | Central Michigan Chippewas @ New Mexico Lobos | 1.4 | 1.82 | +0.82 | +0.50 |
| Sat 9/5 4:00 PM | CFB · paper | BMemphis Tigers -10.5 @52¢ | model | WIN | 42–24 | Arkansas State Red Wolves @ Memphis Tigers | 1.2 | 1.92 | +0.92 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/5 1:15 PM | CFB · paper | BIowa Hawkeyes -35.5 @36¢ | price | WIN | 40–0 | Northern Illinois Huskies @ Iowa Hawkeyes | 1.2 | 2.78 | +1.78 | -3.50 |
| Sat 9/5 12:45 PM | CFB · paper | BTulsa Golden Hurricane +13.5 @48¢ | model | WIN | 24–10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys @ Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 1.4 | 2.08 | +1.08 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/5 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | ACoastal Carolina Chanticleers +21.0 | model | WIN | 24–31 | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers @ West Virginia Mountaineers | 2.1 | 1.91 | +0.91 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/5 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BOregon State Beavers +20.5 @48¢ | model | WIN | 20–33 | Oregon State Beavers @ Houston Cougars | 1.4 | 2.08 | +1.08 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/5 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BMiami (OH) RedHawks +16.5 @50¢ | model | LOSS | 14–59 | Miami (OH) RedHawks @ Pittsburgh Panthers | 1.2 | 2.00 | -1.00 | +0.00 |
| Sat 9/5 9:00 AM | CFB · paper | BJames Madison Dukes -7.5 @41¢ | price | LOSS | 20–13 | Liberty Flames @ James Madison Dukes | 0.9 | 2.44 | -1.00 | -1.50 |
| Fri 9/4 3:30 PM | CFB · paper | San Jose State Spartans ML @44¢ | model | WIN | 27–21 | San Jose State Spartans @ Eastern Michigan Eagles | nan | 2.27 | +1.27 | -0.00 |
model = a projection play; price = a Kalshi price play. Tier A = a best play; Tier B = a lean, logged for measurement only. Paper = calibration mode, not bet. CLV = closing-line value (positive means the line moved our way after the flag).